Updated Odds: Is Baylor Going Bowling?

Bill Connelly (finally!) put up the “team stat profiles” yesterday. There are a lot of good nuggets that stand out for Baylor fans for Baylor’s profile which you can find here.

Most notably, however, is the “Win Total Odds,” which is really just basic math depending on the team’s win percentage for each remaining game. And here is the kicker: while Baylor is only a projected favorite in 1 remaining game, they have a 72% chance of reaching 6 wins. The specific breakdown is as follows:

And the specifics of how S&P currently sees this happening is:

I want to take this opportunity to elucidate “projected win totals.