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Three point shooting: The stat that will determine the national champion

The past two days have been filled with insinuations that this year’s national championship game between Texas Tech and Virginia will be the most boring of the 21st century. While both teams are known for their strong defenses and slow pace, they have the potential to put up points offensively.

Virginia is third nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency according to Kenpom, while Texas Tech is a respectable 28th. Barttorvik’s T-rank tool shows that both offenses have been top 12 nationally since February 1st, and since March 1st both teams have been shooting above 38% from three.